Purdue has won nine of its last 10 at home against Iowa, and oddsmakers expect more of the same Wednesday, installing the Boilermakers as 3-point favorites against the No. 17 Hawkeyes at Mackey Arena. Sporting a 7-4 Big Ten record, the Hawkeyes sit just one game behind Illinois for the conference lead. But coach Fran McCaffrey’s squad has a tough test against a Purdue team that has been strong this year at home, where they are 9-2 straight up and 7-4 against the spread. Elsewhere on Wednesday evening's college basketball card, No. 19 Butler is a 2.5-point favorite at home against No. 10 Villanova in Big East action. The Wildcats have won and covered the spread in their last five matchups against the Bulldogs. Here are odds, analysis and picks for Wednesday’s two Big Ten matchups and other college hoops action. __MORE:__ [Updated NCAA Tournament odds, top 25 rankings](https://www.betchicago.com/ncaa-tournament-odds-top-25-rankings-baylor-contender) ## No. 17 Iowa at Purdue (-3, 137) __Tip-off:__ 7 p.m. ET/6 p.m. CT (BTN) __Betting records:__ Iowa 16-6 SU, 13-6-3 ATS; Purdue 12-10 SU, 9-12-1 ATS __[KenPom](https://kenpom.com/) prediction:__ Purdue 69-68 Iowa has won six of its last seven, including impressive wins over Maryland, Michigan, Rutgers and Illinois. While a lot of that was at home, the Hawkeyes are 3-3 SU and ATS away from Carver-Hawkeye Arena. They square off against a Purdue program that is 3-7-1 ATS in Big Ten play this season. Look for the Boilermakers to slow down the pace and frustrate the Hawkeyes at Mackey Arena. Coach Matt Painter's team is ranked No. 343 in the nation in adjusted tempo at KenPom. They force opponents to use a ton of clock to get shots on offense, holding them to an average of 18.7 seconds per possession (No. 349). The Purdue bigs have their hands full with Iowa center Luka Garza, who continues to fill up the stat sheet in what is shaping up to be an All-American season in his junior year. But the Boilermakers are the 16th tallest team in the nation and have the size down low to frustrate the Hawkeye star. Painter's squad should be able to dictate the pace on Wednesday evening, and an efficient defense that holds opponents to just 91.5 points per 100 possessions will make it difficult for Iowa to find open looks. Purdue's opponents are averaging just 56.5 points per game when they make the trip to West Lafayette. __Pick:__ UNDER 137 ## No. 10 Villanova at No. 19 Butler (-2.5, 130) __Tip-off:__ 6:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. CT (FS1) __Betting records:__ Villanova 17-4 SU, 10-10-1 ATS; Butler 17-5 SU, 13-9 ATS __KenPom prediction:__ Butler 68-64 Both teams enter Wednesday’s tilt off a loss. Butler is in the midst of a slide, going 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last six, while Villanova is eager to get back in the win column after having its seven-game winning streak snapped by Creighton over the weekend. This is an important game for Butler, which looks to re-establish momentum heading into the stretch run of the regular season. But the Bulldogs have been such a Jekyll-and-Hyde team since the turn of the new year that it is difficult for bettors to trust them against an efficient Villanova team that ranks top 10 in the nation in free-throw rate. The total has gone UNDER in Villanova's last six road games. My numbers lean to the UNDER here, but there isn’t enough value at 130 to warrant a full unit play. If bettors shop around and find a 131, then a small position will suffice at that price. ## Wisconsin at Minnesota (-3.5, 125) __Tip-off:__ 9 p.m. ET/8 p.m. CT (BTN) __Betting records:__ Wisconsin 13-9 SU, 9-11-2 ATS; Minnesota 11-10 SU, 12-9 ATS __KenPom prediction:__ Minnesota 64-61 UNDER bettors have cashed in five of the last six meetings between these programs. Both offenses are slow and methodical, and Wednesday's total reflects it. Wisconsin enters off an important 64-63 win as 5.5-point home underdogs against Michigan State on Saturday. The Badgers may be in for a letdown, especially as they adjust to life without Kobe King, their second-leading scorer who announced before the win over the Spartans that he is tranferring from the program. ## Pittsburgh at Notre Dame (-6, 138.5) __Tip-off:__ 6:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. CT (ACCN) __Betting records:__ Pittsburgh 14-8 SU, 11-11 ATS; Notre Dame 13-8 SU, 10-9-2 ATS __KenPom prediction:__ Notre Dame 70-66 Notre Dame hasn’t covered a point spread in its last seven matchups against Pittsburgh. But the Irish have rewarded their backers lately, going 5-1 ATS in their last six. They are laying 6 at home to a Panthers team that has won just twice on the road in their last 20 attempts. OVER bettors have cashed in Notre Dame’s last five contests, and that may help explain why we are seeing value on the UNDER in this one. Pittsburgh ranks No. 333 in adjusted tempo at KenPom and features an efficient defense that should slow down an Irish offense that has come to life in its last five games, averaging 82.8 points over that span. Don't expect them to come close to that number on Wednesday. __Pick:__ UNDER 138.5 ## Wednesday totals best bets St. Bonaventure/George Washington UNDER 133.5 Navy/American UNDER 133.5 ## More Wednesday college basketball lines Iowa State at West Virginia (-11.5, 144.5) Creighton at Providence (-1, 141.5) Clemson at Virginia (-8, 107) Georgia at Florida (-9.5, 142) South Carolina (-1, 142.5) at Ole Miss TCU at Oklahoma State (-3, 129) Temple at Memphis (-7.5, 136) Seton Hall (-3, 147) at Georgetown NC State (-3.5, 141) at Miami FL Wake Forest at Louisville (-16, 142) LSU (-12, 150.5) at Vanderbilt __Bookmark us:__ [College basketball betting coverage](https://www.betchicago.com/ncaa-basketball-betting)