Indianapolis has won just three of its last 15 non-division road games. No wonder wiseguys are betting against the Colts for the second weekend in a row. Sharp bettors are lining up to fade the Colts (6-6 straight up, 6-5-1 against the spread) as they take on the Buccaneers (5-7 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday (1 p.m. ET / noon CT, CBS). Respected money moved a 1.5-point opening line in favor of Tampa to 3.5 last Sunday after oddsmakers at Westgate SuperBook [hung Week 14 lines](http://betindiananews.com/nfl-week-14-betting-lines-colts-bucs/). The number has since settled at a field goal, with the majority of tickets backing Indianapolis plus the points, [per](https://www.sportsinsights.com/nfl/) Sports Insights. __Podcast__: [Oddsmaker says Colts are 'live dog'](http://betindiananews.com/bet-po-football-podcast-week-14-colts-bucs-oddsmaker/) ## Colts at Buccaneers (-3, 47) __Indy QB play regressing__ The Colts have dropped four of their last five games outright and four of six against the spread. Since Week 8, the passing game is nearly non-existent, averaging 187.7 yards on 30.7 attempts. Starting QB Jacoby Brissett has handled most snaps in all but two contests: a 16-12 home defeat as 10.5-point chalk to the lowly Dolphins and a 26-24 defeat at the Steelers with the line a pick 'em. Backup Brian Hoyer started the former with the first-teamer nursing a sore knee. Overall, the pair has combined for just six TD passes and seven INT in this stretch. Brissett has recorded 76.4, 76.9 and 74.9 passer ratings in his last three outings. These numbers won’t win many games or cover many spreads in the NFL. __Colts away wins hard to come by outside division__ Recent non-division road tests suggest a quick fix is not in order for the Colts. They have won just three of their last 15 away games against opponents outside of the AFC South, including 1-2 SU and 1-1-1 ATS marks in 2019. Beyond a rock-solid defensive performance in a stunning 19-13 win at the Chiefs in Week 5 as a 10-point underdog, the team has yielded 26 points or more in its last six under these conditions. In all 15 cited, Indy allows 28.1 points per game. __Week 14 NFL teasers:__ [Cardinals a good bet](https://www.betchicago.com/nfl-week-14-teaser-picks) Another trend worth noting for the Tampa matchup is the Colts going 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven against a team with a lesser winning percentage. However, outside of the pick 'em spread against the Steelers in Week 9, Indy has kicked off the betting favorite in each; this week, the Colts are dogs. __Tampa offense motoring__ The Bucs are looking to claim three victories in a row in the same season for the first time since 2016, coming off a pair of road wins at the Falcons (35-22) and Jaguars (28-11). First-year coach Bruce Arians has the offense performing above market projections nearly every week. After combining for 37 points through the first two weeks to begin the 2019 campaign, Tampa has surpassed its team total in nine of its last 10 games. Arians’ squad averages 30.3 since, going off a +2.0 average underdog with a 49.6 total. The OVER is 9-1 with a 10.7 margin. Turnover-prone Jameis Winston has thrown for more than 300 yards in all but two of the 10 contests, compiling a 20:17 TD-to-INT ratio. __Notable trends__ The UNDER is 21-5 in the Colts’ last 26 games following a double-digit loss at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Tampa is 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS on the season at Raymond James Stadium. *Trends compiled with queries performed at [SportsDatabase](https://sportsdatabase.com/).* __Super Bowl 54 odds update:__ [Seahawks, Packers moving up board](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-54-odds-seahawks-packers)