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NBA Finals Game 6 odds, betting preview: Raptors look to continue road dominance to close out Warriors

NBA Finals Game 6 odds, betting preview: Raptors look to continue road dominance to close out Warriors

Kevin Durant is gone and he's not coming back (possibly ever), and while Golden State was good enough to overcome his absence in Game 5, getting to a Game 7 would be an achievement rarely seen in the NBA Finals.

Chris Mascaro
Staff Writer
Bet Chicago
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@CCMascaro
Chris Mascaro is an experienced journalist with more than 10 years in the field at places like Newsday, SI.com, MLB.com and The Sports XChange. He's a graduate of Cornell University and Columbia's Graduate School of Journalism.
Kevin Durant is gone and he's not coming back to save Golden State (possibly ever). While the Warriors were good enough to overcome his absence [in Game 5](https://www.betchicago.com/nba-finals-game-6-opening-odds-updated-series-price-warriors-favored-Kevin-durant-injured), getting to a Game 7 -- even though Golden State is a small favorite for Game 6 -- would be an achievement rarely seen in the NBA Finals. There have only been three Game 7s after a team has trailed 3-1 in the series in 34 instances in the NBA Finals prior to this season. The 1951 Knicks forced a Game 7 against the Rochester Royals, the 1966 Lakers forced one against the Celtics and the 2016 Cavaliers did it against the Warriors. The Cavs were the only one of the three to win the series. Golden State is favored to do it this year as a 2.5-point home favorite against the Raptors at [nearly every major Las Vegas sportsbook](http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/las-vegas/?s=94) (MGM and Circa being notable exceptions at -3) as of Wednesday evening for Thursday's Game 6 (8 p.m. CT, ABC). The total is 211.5 across the board, moving up about a half or a full point at most books since it opened. The spread opened at 3.5 at most places shortly after Game 4, when the Warriors came back from a six-point deficit with 3:00 to play, holding Toronto to one basket in that stretch. It was the fourth straight win for the road team in this series. Game 6 will be the last at Oracle Arena before Golden State moves across the bay to San Francisco, and while the venue has been a good one for the Warriors -- they're 8-5 there in the Finals -- the Raptors are 3-0 there season (straight up and against the spread), including Games 3 and 4 of this series. Losing at Oracle against the spread isn't anything out of the ordinary for Golden State in 2018-19, as the Warrors are 16-24-1 ATS there in the regular season and 3-7 in the playoffs. The cover rate of 38 percent is third worst in the league this season, higher than only the Bulls and Knicks, [according to TeamRankings.com](https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/trends/ats_trends/?sc=is_home). Spreads were generally high for the two-time defending champs at home, but the -2.5 that's currently posted would be the smallest home spread for Golden State in the postseason. The average spread in its first 10 home playoff games was 5.5. The Warriors (14-7 SU in the postseason, 8-11-2 ATS) are 6-4 SU in the playoffs, and things haven't been much different ATS with Durant than without, as they are 2-4 ATS with him and 1-3 without. Toronto (15-8 SU in the postseason, 13-9-1 ATS) has won seven of its last nine, going 7-1-1 ATS in that stretch. The Raptors are 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS on the road in the playoffs. Backup center Kevon Looney, who aggravated a chest injury in Game 5, is questionable for Game 6 but will [likely play](https://twitter.com/MarkG_Medina/status/1138926219611611137). Kawhi Leonard is the overwhelming favorite to win MVP of the series, -323 at FanDuel, with Steph Curry +240, Klay Thompson +6300, Draymond Green 40/1 and Pascal Siakam and Kyle Lowry both 100/1. Leonard is averaging 30 points, 11 rebounds and four assists per game in the Finals. Curry is averaging 32 points, six rebounds and six assists. Leonard won the award in 2014 with the Spurs but Curry never has (Andre Iguodala won in 2015 and Durant the last two years). __MORE:__ [Domino effect of Kevin Durant's injury on free agency](https://www.betchicago.com/kevin-durant-injury-nba-finals-free-agency), [futures odds](https://www.betchicago.com/nba-odds-kevin-durant-injury-betting-futures) ## Game 6 prices Golden State is -145 on the moneyline for Game 6 at most sportsbooks and the Raptors are +125. The notable exception is Circa, where the Warriors are -150 and Toronto +131. The total for Golden State points is 107 as of Wednesday evening at the Westgate SuperBook and 104.5 for the Raptors (-110 both ways for both teams) and the first-half line is Warriors -1.5 with a total of 104.5. Golden State is +280 underdog to win its fourth title in five years and sixth ever, and Toronto is -360 to win its first championship. The Raptors to win in seven games is +180. Game 7 would be Sunday in Canada. The Warriors [were 1/2 favorites to win the title](https://www.betchicago.com/nba-title-odds-win-totals-bulls-2018) three days before the start of the regular season and Toronto was 14/1. __ALSO:__ [Game 6 prop bets](https://www.betchicago.com/nba-finals-game-6-prop-bets-warriors-curry-thompson-green-iguodala) __NBA Finals betting results__ Game 1: Raptors win in Toronto 118-109 as 1.5-point favorites (OVER 212.5) Game 2: Warriors win in Toronto 109-104 as 2-point underdogs (UNDER 213.5 Game 3: Raptors win in Oakland 123-109 as 3-point underdogs (OVER 210.5) Game 4: Raptors win in Oakland 105-92 as 5-point underdogs (UNDER 215) Game 5: Warriors win in Toronto 106-105 as 1-point favorites (UNDER 217) __MORE:__ [Complete NBA betting coverage](https://www.betchicago.com/nba-betting)
2019-06-13T00:05:40.422Z2019-06-12T20:00-04:00
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