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NFL

Lopsided ticket counts highlight the NFL's Week 7 early betting slate

Lopsided ticket counts highlight the NFL's Week 7 early betting slate

Despite underdogs cashing tickets at a high percentage this NFL season, bettors are backing the favorites for Week 7's early Sunday kickoffs.

Joe Rodgers
Senior Staff Writer
BetChicago
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@RodgersBC
Joe Rodgers is a sports analyst specializing in betting odds and fantasy. He has spent time with Perform Group Media, earned a master's degree, and is even a certified pace car driver.
Despite underdogs being 56-35-1 against the spread this NFL season, public bettors are backing the favorites like it's free money for Sunday's early kickoffs on the Week 7 slate. As of Thursday's publication, the Vikings, Jaguars, Rams and 49ers are receiving more than two-thirds of spread tickets, [according to](https://www.sportsinsights.com/nfl/) Sports Insights. The undefeated Niners are the most lopsided bet, accounting for 80% of betting tickets as 9.5-point road favorites against the hapless Redskins. Reverse line movement -- when the number moves against the team more people are betting because respected money is on the other side -- often occurs with an uneven ticket count. Several games for Sunday's early kickoffs fit the mold. ## NFL betting lines for Week 7 All games starting at 1 p.m. ET/Noon CT; Consensus lines listed ### Cardinals at Giants betting __Open:__ Giants -3, 50 __Current:__ Giants -3, 50.5 __Betting records:__ Cardinals 2-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, Giants 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS __Notable trend:__ Giants are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. __Quick analysis:__ The Giants seem to be getting healthy at the right time with the return of Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram. They'll face a leaky Cardinals defense that [is one of six teams](https://www.rotoworld.com/article/numbers/nfl-week-7-mismatch-manifesto) (Giants included) that allow an explosive pass-play rate above 11% this season. If you lean to the OVER, just know Cardinals WR Christian Kirk (ankle) is on the wrong side of questionable. ### Texans at Colts betting __Open:__ Colts -2.5, 47.5 __Current:__ Colts -1, 47.5 __Betting records:__ Texans 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, Colts 3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS __Notable trend:__ Colts are 9-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. __Quick analysis:__ We go in-depth on the Colts, one our local teams, for their key divisional tilt against the Texans with a full-game breakdown [here](http://betindiananews.com/texans-colts-odds-betting-week-7-afc-west/). __Listen:__ [Oddsmaker breaks down Week 7](http://betindiananews.com/bet-pro-football-podcast-g2e-indiana/) ### Dolphins at Bills betting __Open:__ Bills -15.5, 41 __Current:__ Bills -17, 41 __Betting records:__ Dolphins 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS, Bills 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS __Notable trend:__ Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings in Buffalo. __Quick analysis:__ The Ryan Fitzpatrick revenge game. The Dolphins starter appeared in 55 games for the Bills and should be comfortable playing in western New York. Problem is, his offensive line has allowed the fourth-most sacks (23) in the NFL this season. With the Bills' run-first offense and strong defense, UNDER is a perfect 5-0 in their games this season. Miami is 4-1 to the UNDER. Ironically, after covering against the Redskins, Miami is the popular bet catching 17 points in this spot, garnering over 60% of early tickets. ### Vikings at Lions betting __Open:__ Pick 'em, 44 __Current:__ Vikings -1.5, 44.5 __Betting records:__ Vikings 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, Lions 2-2 SU, 4-1 ATS __Notable trend:__ UNDER is 9-3 in Vikings last 12 games overall. __Quick analysis:__ Everyone saw the Lions get [jobbed by the refs on Monday Night Football](http://betindiananews.com/williams-touchdown-bad-beat-packers-lions-monday-night/), but they were the sharp side against the Packers. Best bet here is to [tease the home dogs](http://betindiananews.com/nfl-week-7-teaser-candidates/) from +1.5 to +7.5 through the key numbers of 3 and 7. ### Raiders at Packers betting __Open:__ Packers -7, 46 __Current:__ Packers -5.5, 47 __Betting records:__ Raiders 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, Packers 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS __Notable trend:__ Raiders are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight-up win. __Quick analysis:__ For the second straight home game, the professional bettors are fading Green Bay at home as the point spread has drifted from 7 to as low as 4.5 at the Westgate SuperBook. The SuperContest line is 4.5, just to show where oddsmakers at Westgate expect this number to end up. ### Jaguars at Bengals betting __Open:__ Jaguars -3, 47.5 __Current:__ Jaguars -3.5, 44 __Betting records:__ Jaguars 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, Bengals 0-6 SU, 3-3 ATS __Notable trend:__ Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. __Quick analysis:__ Minshew Mania fell flat last week despite sharp support. This week, public bettors are expecting a "get-right" spot for Jacksonville against the Bengals, who are second-to-last in opposing yards per game and last with 5.3 yards per rush allowed. Cincy is one of only three offenses that still don't have a rush of at least 20 yards through six weeks, and we expect a strong showing from the Jags D in their first game since losing Jalen Ramsey. ### Rams at Falcons betting __Open:__ Rams -4, 52.5 __Current:__ Rams -3, 54.5 __Betting records:__ Rams 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, Falcons 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS __Notable trend:__ Falcons are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games in October. __Quick analysis:__ Despite getting nearly 70% of the wagers, the Rams have been adjusted from 4-point road favorites to -3. The reverse line movement against an underperforming Falcons team signals respected bettors are on the home dogs. L.A. has had issues of its own with a bad offensive line and QB play. __MORE:__ [Rams’ trade for All-Pro Jalen Ramsey slashes futures odds](http://betindiananews.com/rams-odds-jalen-ramsey-trade-super-bowl-54/) ### 49ers at Redskins betting __Open:__ 49ers -9.5, 43 __Current:__ 49ers -9.5, 41.5 __Betting records:__ 49ers 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, Redskins 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS __Notable trend:__ UNDER is 10-4 in Redskins' last 14 games following an ATS loss. __Quick analysis:__ As stated above, no team on the NFL Week 7 card is getting a larger percentage of bets than the undefeated 49ers. Heck, the Redskins couldn't even cover against the lowly Dolphins, how are they going to do it against a 5-0 team? If betting the Niners, be aware they are traveling from the West Coast to the East for an early kickoff. San Francisco hasn't been this big of a road favorite since the 2011 season, when they failed to cover as 11-point chalk against the Rams. __MORE:__ [Betting line moves against Bears ahead of home game vs. Saints](http://betindiananews.com/bears-saints-betting-line-week-7/)
2019-10-17T19:40:13.170Z2019-10-17T15:39-04:00
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