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Super Bowl 54 prop bets, WRs: Pick Hill to break out of playoff slumber

Super Bowl 54 prop bets, WRs: Pick Hill to break out of playoff slumber

The Super Bowl 54 props market oozes value for those bullish on Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill making an impact Sunday.

Eric Dewberry
Staff Writer
//images.ctfassets.net/p0ykbbcw3bn6/23tuLGLVrez8cybY1DBFnB/cd2c0cc1b9a93eec4f2923c4e9c1525d/eric-dewberry-colorpng_1cx64nq4cwll11njt96zl19jm8.png
0c10UEdhfMEDmG971Jwi6
@eric_dewberry
Eric Dewberry is a sports analyst with previous stops at The Linemakers on Sporting News and Cox Enterprises. He owns a PhD in Communications, a drum kit, and way too many baseball cards.
The Chiefs' No. 1 wide receiver Tyreek Hill has had a quiet postseason, shut down by a glut of double coverage en route to Super Bowl 54. Expect a big performance Sunday, though, as quarterback Patrick Mahomes favors his go-to target in what will likely become a one-dimensional passing attack by Kansas City. Hill offers prop value OVER his number of total receptions should this play out. Teammate Sammy Watkins and 49ers wideout Emmanuel Sanders, meanwhile, figure to have less of an impact on the NFL's grandest stage. Below are three wide receiver props to consider for Super Bowl 54 featuring the trio: ## Longest reception by: Sammy Watkins, UNDER 20.5, -110 Watkins exploded for two big gains in the playoffs, rare accomplishments for the inconsistent wideout in 15 games played this year. He picked up his first touchdown since the season opener via a 60-yard bomb in Kansas City's AFC Championship victory over the Titans. In the divisional round, Watkins reeled in a 48-yard catch over the Texans, his longest since a determined Week 1 performance at Jacksonville. Both opportunities were virtually handed to the boom-or-bust receiver, as Tennessee and Houston were caught doubling up on the more dangerous options of Hill and Travis Kelce. The 49ers' defensive game plan, like most blueprints against the Chiefs, will make stopping big gains a top priority. They will have an answer to slow the Watkins renaissance. Watkins hasn't shown much promise getting big gains against pass defenses as strong as San Fran's. The six-year pro tallied eight receptions of 21-plus yards this season, but six of these came in seven games against a passing defense allowing more than 250 yards per game. The 49ers own the best passing D in the NFL, yielding 173.8 yards. __More Super Bowl 54 props:__ [Kelce-Kittle](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-54-prop-bets-odds-kittle-kelce-tight-ends) | [Cross-sport faves](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-54-prop-bets-cross-sport) | [Action report](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-54-props-betting-sharp-action-odds) ## Total receptions by: Tyreek Hill, OVER 5.5, +125 Hill has faced a heavy dose of double coverage this postseason, garnering a total of eight receptions on 11 targets in two games. Taking Mahomes' best weapon away didn't work for the Texans and Titans, as the reigning MVP went elsewhere in leading the offense to a combined 86 points. It's a pick-your-poison strategy against the Chiefs, and the 49ers will probably zero in on slowing Kelce, who went for 114 yards on eight catches when these teams clashed in Week 3 of 2018. Hill has picked up six receptions just four times in 14 games this season. So, why the bullish outlook he'll hit the mark against the No. 1 passing defense in the league? Because the 49ers stout rushing defense will make the Chiefs one-dimensional, and Hill will reap the rewards. There's numbers to back this outlook up. Since Week 6, after missing four of the Chiefs' first five games with a collarbone injury, Hill has received eight targets or more in five of six contests against opponents allowing fewer than 105 yards rushing per game. He's seen as many opportunities once in seven other contests in this span. San Fran allows an average of [104.7 rushing yards per game](https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-rushing-yards-per-game). __Super Bowl 54 betting:__ [Record handle expected](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-betting-history-vegas-record-handle-chiefs-49ers) | [Billions will be wagered](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-54-betting-survey-aga) | [OVER is popular](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-54-betting-over-under) ## Total receptions by: Emmanuel Sanders, UNDER 2.5, +145 Listed as the No. 2 wideout on the 49ers depth chart, Sanders is more like the fourth option for quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo when you factor in George Kittle and Kendrick Bourne. Sanders has been targeted only 17 times in the last five games. The 49ers are destroying recent opponents on the ground, and there are few reasons to believe the attack will change against a Kansas City defense more vulnerable to the rush than the pass. Sanders doesn't get a lot of looks against similar teams. Since Sanders came over in a mid-season trade from Denver, Garoppolo has targeted him a total 25 times in six games against defenses surrendering more than 116 rushing yards per game, as opposed to 31 in six contests versus those averaging fewer. __Bookmark us:__ [NFL betting](https://www.betchicago.com/nfl-betting)
2020-01-28T20:26:19.942Z2020-01-28T15:26-05:00
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